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What are weak signals?
A weak signal is a small, early hint that something might be changing. Learning to see them is the first step to thinking about the future.
Read the guideForesight concepts and practices explained simply, with examples from Peru. For anyone who wants to train their curiosity and think long term, no expertise needed.
5 min read
A weak signal is a small, early hint that something might be changing. Learning to see them is the first step to thinking about the future.
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Signals are the beginning; trends are the pattern that appears when many signals point in the same direction.
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Foresight does not try to guess the future. It explores several possible futures to make better decisions in the present.
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Spotting signals is a habit, not a talent. This guide suggests where to look and which questions to ask to train your eye.
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The futures cone is a visual tool to organize the futures we imagine, from the possible to the ones we prefer.
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A scenario is a coherent story of what the future could look like. It does not aim to be right: it helps you prepare for several possibilities at once.
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Backcasting starts from a desired future and walks back to the present, to find out which steps it takes to get there.
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Megatrends are broad, slow changes that affect almost everything. Knowing them helps you make sense of the signals you see every day.
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Thinking long term means bringing the people and places of decades from now into today's decisions. It can be trained with simple habits.
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The three horizons show that the future already lives alongside the present: what is declining, what is in transition and what is starting to emerge.
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Thinking about the future is learned by practicing. These activities work at school or university and need no special materials.
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The most common foresight terms, explained in one or two sentences.
Read the guideWith Mirai you capture what is changing in your neighborhood, read it through three questions and connect it with other perspectives.